Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.5%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado5 dic 25, 21:02 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew Harry Potter series will be considered woke?
Manifold MarketsHow many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Manifold MarketsHarry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiReglas
Resolves NO if the series finishes adapting the book series up to and including the Deathly Hallows.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if a cancellation is officially announced, or if more than 2 years have passed since the last part with no release in sight.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the series diverges from the books but finishes on its own terms:
- If it feels rushed, resolves YES
- If it feels well-paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, resolves NO
- If particularly close, trader consensus will be sought; if no reasonable consensus, resolves N/A