Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 56%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado2 mar 25, 1:06 UTC1 ene 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.
- If, by January 1st 2100, there is no evidence for this, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolves as N/A. The NO and N/A resolutions cannot occur before January 1st 2100.
Mercados abiertos
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- No-0.3pt96%
- Yes+0.3pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
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POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 40,4 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 27°C+67.0pt83.3%
- 28°C+9.5pt13.5%
- 29°C+2.3pt3.1%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66.7%
- LPL (China)-0.5pt24.5%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.9%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt79.2%
- Puerto Rico-45.0pt20.8%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 15,5 mil €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
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- 356,6 mil €
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- 13,8 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Está previsto que Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.