Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2024 100%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 46 minutos
Retrasado7 dic 24, 20:06 UTC1 ene 31, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Insomnia Cookies have declared bankruptcy by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they
- Maintain storefronts branded as Crumbl Cookies or similar ("Crumble" would be acceptable, "Utah Baking Company" would not be) that sells cookies
- Have not filed for bankruptcy protection
- Have not been acquired by another company
- The market will resolve NO for a given year if any of the above criteria are not met, or if Crumbl Cookies ceases operations entirely.
- Resolves YES if they survive through the end of the year.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,3 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
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- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 21,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 20,3 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2024 al 100% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- Está previsto que In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they