If Trump is assassinated will the S&P500 rise >3% in the following week?
AccionesOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.5%
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16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado19 abr 25, 1:14 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves yes if Trump is assassinated before January 20, 2029 AND in the week following (starting at the time of the fatal attack, even if death occurs at a later time) SPX increases by at least 3% (measured by exact price to exact price, or most recent close if the attack occurs outside trading hours) according to Yahoo Finance.
- Resolves no if Trump is assassinated and SPX does not increase by >3%.
- Resolves NA if Trump is not assassinated before January 20, 2029.
