Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 56%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado10 feb 26, 1:46 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiNH-02 Democratic nominee?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Está previsto que If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.