¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64.5% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 64.5%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

3 sept 23, 12:05 UTC1 ene 40, 15:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves YES on British media consensus that Argentina seized and held the Falkland Islands for at least a week.

Resolves NO on British media consensus that Argentina attempted to invade and failed, even if that attempt foundered before soldiers left Argentinian airspace.
Otherwise resolves NA