Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.7%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 25, 21:44 UTC2 ene 30, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMilestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
KalshiReglas
Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.
- Pass/Fail Criteria:
- The event must be a legitimate half marathon recognized by local race authorities.
- The robot must run on two legs with no external power supply.
- Official chip time or race clock must show under 2:00:00 at the finish line.
- Must be documented by official race organizers or credible local media.