Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPrinceton Puzzle Hunt 95%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado27 ene 26, 20:53 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to 100% if I get 1st in a hunt, 0% if I am not in the top 20.
- Otherwise, 5*(21-place)%.
- I'll add hunts throughout the year as they are announced if I intend to participate in them.
- N/A if a hunt added doesn't run for some reason, or makes it impossible to determine a ranking.
- (Even if there aren't leaderboards, I'll try to find a ranking if, say, there are per-puzzle stats for the endgame puzzle.)
- [Added Feb 20:] Also N/A if I end up not doing a hunt due to some unforeseen event (e.g. some higher priority thing happens)
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Princeton Puzzle Hunt al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description)?
- Está previsto que How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to 100% if I get 1st in a hunt, 0% if I am not in the top 20.