Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: 14 or more (99%)
Resuelto: 30 jun 2026, 11:21
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
14 or more
A 7 días
64%
A 24 horas
99%
ConsensoPronóstico comunitario actual14 or more 99%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 días
Desactualizado18 may 26, 16:0430 jun 26, 11:21
Cronología de Probabilidad
8 or fewer0.6%
90.6%
100.7%
110.9%
122.6%
130.2%
14 or more76.8%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· 14 or more
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 resultados más
38 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez media
Volumen total2,4 M €
Volumen 24h645,4 mil €
KALSHI
También disponible en Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 resultados más
25 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total48,8 mil €
Volumen 24h3,8 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.