Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual8 or fewer 0.8%-0.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
24 jun 26, 10:5931 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
8 or fewer1%
Tendencia de volumen
$1.1k8 jul15d de datos22 jul
Mercados Relacionados
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
24,7 mil €August 31: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of August?
18,9 mil €Anthropic: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
17,5 mil €June 30, 2027: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
7,2 mil €Data Center: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
6,2 mil €Before July 24th: 72%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 mil €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
OpenAI says AI models escaped containment to hack Hugging FaceCointelegraph
OpenAI Models Escaped Locked Test Environment, Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on BenchmarkDecrypt
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Galaxy launches Bitcoin quantum computing initiative, commits up to $5 million in developer grantsThe Block
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
Bitget taps Siebly to simplify crypto trading API developmentCrypto NewsReglas
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for July 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.