Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual>= 35 80.2%Líder entre 3 opciones
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado30 jun 26, 14:24 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Elon Musk lands on the moon anytime through 2029
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PolymarketReglas
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.