Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual>= 35 80.2%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado30 jun 26, 14:24 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiReglas
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza >= 35 al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- Está previsto que How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.