Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual< 1 year (includes 0 time) 90.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado28 jun 23, 1:24 UTC1 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Based on time sentenced.
- Resolves on initial sentencing announcement (all counts combined), without waiting for appeals.
- Resolves to < 1 year if not sentenced by the end of 2026.
- Resolves to the lowest valid bracket.
- So a sentence of 9 years would resolve to < 10.
- A sentence of home detention without actual jail time would fall under the [< 1 year] option.
