Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual< 1 year (includes 0 time) 90.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado28 jun 23, 1:24 UTC1 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketReglas
Based on time sentenced.
- Resolves on initial sentencing announcement (all counts combined), without waiting for appeals.
- Resolves to < 1 year if not sentenced by the end of 2026.
- Resolves to the lowest valid bracket.
- So a sentence of 9 years would resolve to < 10.
- A sentence of home detention without actual jail time would fall under the [< 1 year] option.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How Long Will Trump Go To Jail??
- Manifold Markets cotiza < 1 year (includes 0 time) al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How Long Will Trump Go To Jail??
- Está previsto que How Long Will Trump Go To Jail? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How Long Will Trump Go To Jail??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Based on time sentenced.