Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
InflationPolíticaOne-OffCommoditiesUS PoliticsElección1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado5 abr 26, 18:51 UTC5 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PredictItReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:
- The national average price of a gallon of regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.50 at any point between April 5, 2026, and the date of the 2026 midterm elections.
- This data will be verified using the AAA Gas Prices national average tracker.
- The Democratic Party holds a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the results of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The market resolves to "NO" if gasoline prices do not reach or exceed $4.50 during the specified timeframe, or if the Democratic Party fails to secure control of either chamber of Congress.
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 77,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Está previsto que Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? se resuelva el 5 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria