Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Flight 14 (93.6%)
Resuelto: 29 sept 2026, 2:22
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 sept 2026, 17:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Flight 120.3%
Flight 130.3%
Flight 1493.6%
Flight 153.9%
Other1.8%
Ganada
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the first Starship V3 flight that meets all of SpaceX's stated primary objectives.
- SpaceX is targeting the first quarter of 2026 for the debut flight of Starship V3, which will be the named outcome.
- Resolution will be based on SpaceX's official post-flight statements and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship.
- Nits Individual failures (e.g. engine failures, subsystem problems) that don't affect overall flight objectives will not cause a flight to resolve NO.
- For example, if this market was for block 1 flight 4 it would resolve YES even though the landing was off target.
