¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95.4% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 95.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 horas

Desactualizado

21 nov 22, 14:46 UTC1 ene 31, 5:00 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

For this to resolve positivly, the general trend in EA has to shift away from utilitarianism and towards some other moral philosophy.

(It can still be consequentialist.) Not every EA must renounce utilitarianism, it's ok if there's still a lot of discussion about it.
But it can't be the main "thing" that EA is known for anymore.