Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+10.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 24, 23:49 UTC1 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
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Reglas
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
