Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 54%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 ago 26, 13:48 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
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KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBy when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if until Dec 31, 2027, Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.
- Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs).
- Job titles don’t matter.
- Part-time advisory alongside outside ventures counts as NO.
- Resolves NO immediately if he leaves before then.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
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- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
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- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if until Dec 31, 2027, Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.