Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.2%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado8 mar 24, 20:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
"Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.
- If this is not the case, this market will resolve N/A. "Elon Musk is in control of Twitter/X" means that it is still possible for Musk to make arbitrary changes (eg starting Twitter Blue, changing the site's name, adding view/bookmark counts, etc) to the website with almost no obstacles.
- If Musk retains some power over Twitter/X, but others veto some of his decisions in practice, that counts as a NO resolution.
- Situations that would result in this market resolving YES:
- Musk is the outright CEO of Twitter/X
Mercados abiertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 180,1 mil €
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- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 resultados más
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- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
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+5 resultados más
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KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 60,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: "Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.