Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
One-OffNegocios y empresasTecnología2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado8 mar 24, 20:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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"Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.
- If this is not the case, this market will resolve N/A. "Elon Musk is in control of Twitter/X" means that it is still possible for Musk to make arbitrary changes (eg starting Twitter Blue, changing the site's name, adding view/bookmark counts, etc) to the website with almost no obstacles.
- If Musk retains some power over Twitter/X, but others veto some of his decisions in practice, that counts as a NO resolution.
- Situations that would result in this market resolving YES:
- Musk is the outright CEO of Twitter/X
