Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
One-OffClima
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado11 dic 22, 3:12 UTC1 ene 00, 5:00 UTC
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The condition is met if we ever cross the threshold, even if global temperatures are later brought below it.
- The resolution criterion is met if world population ever dips below 1 billion for any length of time before 2100.
- Similar markets for various amounts of warming:
