Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 87%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado21 ene 24, 0:24 UTC1 ene 50, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if there is a comercially available mobile phone or a similiar device (say, a smart watch) in any country that has an effective nuclear powered battery by 2050.
- This would imply that the phone can fully run off of the battery and does not require charging during its lifespan.
- Replacing the battery would also qualify, say if it has a relatively short lifespan, but no less then 6 months.
- Market inspired by:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/PavelZhivulin/will-betavolt-implement-nuclear-bat)
