By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight?
One-OffTecnología14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight 80%Líder entre 18 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-9.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado5 feb 25, 2:15 UTC1 ene 41, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.
- For a given year of resolution, all markets up to the year before will resolve "NO", then all markets for that year and later will resolve "yes".
- So for example, if the Overture makes its first passenger-carrying flight on 2030-06-01, then "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "NO", and "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "YES".
- If the flight was conducted at the end of one year but the press release made at the start of the next, I will resolve based on the datetime of the flight, not the press release.
- "Passenger-carrying" is a little vague, but I'll take this to be carrying non-engineering and non-pilot passengers who do not work for Boom, as on a maiden flight.
- They do not need to have paid for that ticket to be classified as "passengers".
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight al 80% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
- Está previsto que By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2041.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.