Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 58.7%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado27 ago 23, 5:27 UTC2 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040
Manifold MarketsRoad bridge to Sicily open by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
KalshiLargest Company end of September?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketReglas
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Connecting each sides mainland, not islands
- (Although stopovers or steps at islands are fine)
- You'll be able to travel above water not flying between the countries
- Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:
- The project must have no remaining required unfunded or unplanned steps at the time of resolution.
Mercados abiertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 482,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 422,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,7 mil €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 189,6 mil €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 59% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Está previsto que Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track