At what temperature anomaly will global warming peak before the Earth starts cooling again?
Clima
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%Líder entre 27 opciones
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado15 oct 24, 7:38 UTC22 oct 24, 21:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market will close when climate science comes to the conclusion that global warming has ended and the Earth has started cooling.
- It will resolve to the highest global surface temperature anomaly the Earth has experienced relative to 1850-1900 (in degrees Celsius, rounded to one decimal place).
- Resolution will likely occur far in the future and will be based on the most relevant scientific publications at that time.
