New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030?

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52.3% a fecha de 19 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030?

Está previsto que New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.

¿Cómo se liquida New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030?

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the annual temperature anomaly (against the 1960-1990 baseline period for long-term climate change assessments used by StatsNZ) is not recorded to be below +1°C in any years leading up but not including 2030.

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

JSON gratis de este mercado, sin clave de API:

Agentes de IA: llama a pm_data_event en el servidor MCP de CoinRithm:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• West Palm Beach+79.0pt99.5%
• Albuquerque+23.0pt69.5%
• Miami-28.0pt15%

+32 resultados más

Volumen total

425 mil €

Volumen 24h

378,8 mil €

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

• 62° to 63°+44.0pt99.5%
• 64° to 65°-27.0pt0.5%
• 60° to 61°-13.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?

• 71° to 72°+61.0pt97%
• 73° or above+4.0pt2%
• 69° to 70°-44.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

• 85° to 86°+34.0pt99.5%
• 83° to 84°-8.0pt0.5%
• 87° to 88°-21.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

• Albuquerque48%
• Miami46.5%
• West Palm Beach36.5%

KALSHI

What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

• Jalen Hurts99.5%
• Midterm99.5%
• France / French99.5%

• Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 19, 2026?