Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBen Allen 66.9%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-2.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado25 may 26, 3:42 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election by the California Secretary of State.
- The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The resolution will be based on the official final election results published by the California Secretary of State's Office.
- If the election is canceled or the office remains vacant for any reason, the market will resolve N/A. The 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election is a high-profile contest to succeed incumbent Ricardo Lara, who is term-limited and ineligible for re-election.