2026 California Insurance Commissioner election
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.12d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 18:56 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualBen Allen 66.8%-3.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-2.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado25 may 26, 3:42 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election?
Manifold MarketsTexas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
PolymarketWho Will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?
Manifold MarketsGeorgia Insurance Commissioner winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election by the California Secretary of State.
- The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The resolution will be based on the official final election results published by the California Secretary of State's Office.
- If the election is canceled or the office remains vacant for any reason, the market will resolve N/A. The 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election is a high-profile contest to succeed incumbent Ricardo Lara, who is term-limited and ineligible for re-election.