Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado11 sept 26, 19:40 UTC27 oct 26, 17:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.
- Resolve NO if the FOMC leaves the target range unchanged or lowers it.
- Resolution will be based on the first official Federal Reserve monetary policy statement issued for the October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The size of the increase does not matter.
- Any increase in the target range counts as YES.
- Changes to forward guidance, the balance sheet, quantitative tightening, Treasury operations, or any other policy measure do not count unless the target range for the federal funds rate is also increased.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 94,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,8 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,6 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- Está previsto que 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? se resuelva el 27 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.