KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 50% 94%-4.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9 mil €
Liquidez
5,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
11 sept 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Wisconsin Governor election: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiNY-10 House election: Nickie Kane vote percent
KalshiCO-07 House election: Joe Krzeckowski vote percent
KalshiSC-05 House election: Andy Kaplan vote percent
KalshiUT-04 House election: Jacob Gottfredson vote percent
KalshiMO-06 House election: Chris Stigall vote percent
KalshiReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Office of the Secretary of State, Jefferson City, MO
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mark Alford ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.4pt25.3%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.7%
- Marco Rubio+3.5pt13.7%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 607,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 606,4 mil €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt28.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.1%
+38 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186,4 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.6pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva48.5%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance22.9%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt12.5%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt11.5%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 56,8 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-1.8pt12%
+48 resultados más
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 50% al 94% a fecha de 13 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?
- Está previsto que MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.