KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above -0.5% 98%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
6,7 mil €
Liquidez
10,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
14 sept 26, 19:00 UTC18 sept 26, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Liquida mediante:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Above -0.5% es del 98%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Above -0.5% 98% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 48,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 48,3 mil €
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volumen total
- 7,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,9 mil €
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- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi cotiza Above -0.5% al 98% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Está previsto que US Leading Economic Index change in August se resuelva el 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- ¿Dónde más está listado US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.