Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
5.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 62%
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
875,5 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
35.0% / 38.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
15 ene 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this market, any candidate that is not officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered independent or third party, regardless of whether they join a party’s caucus or conference after the election.
- For example, Senator Bernie Sanders would be considered an independent candidate.
- Third party or independent candidates who accept the endorsement of the Democratic or Republican party will still count if they are not officially affiliated or do not explicitly represent either of the two major parties.
- However, candidates that are officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will NOT count, even if they have the formal support of other third parties (such as the Working Families or Conservative parties in New York).
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.