KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
12 21.6%Líder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
18,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.6 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
1 feb 26, 21:00 UTC3 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the State of Texas
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Kalshi cotiza 12 al 22% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Está previsto que How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.