KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 106 61.9%Líder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
172,1 €
Liquidez
172,1 €
Baja liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
28 ago 26, 16:00 UTC7 oct 26, 2:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Carbon Arc Temu Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Temu Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Mercados abiertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 351,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 351,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 resultados más
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 106 al 62% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Está previsto que Temu Credit Card Spend in September se resuelva el 7 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Carbon Arc Temu Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.