KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: New York (98%)
Resuelto: 4 jul 2026, 1:37
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
New York
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
62%
ConsensoProbabilidad implícita actualNew York 96.1%+45.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
697,6 mil €
Liquidez
1,6 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 días
Desactualizado7 oct 25, 14:001 ene 30, 4:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
New York98%
Rhode Island7%
Tennessee1%
96.1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· New York
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 98% | — | 697,6 mil € | 1,6 M € | hace 23 días | |
 Manifold Markets87% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 18 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce get married?
Cerrados
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
-1.0pt0%
+7 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario40 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Rhode Island before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not marry before Jan 1, 2030, the market will resolve to No Wedding Reported.
- If multiple wedding ceremonies occur in different locations (for example, a civil and a symbolic ceremony), only the first wedding ceremony to occur and be publicly reported by a Source Agency will govern this market.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in New York before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Tennessee before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.9k96.0%KALSHINew York — Yeshace 24 d
KALSHINew York — Yeshace 24 d$2.4k97.0%KALSHINew York — Yeshace 24 d
KALSHINew York — Yeshace 24 dTendencia de volumen
$794.2k2 jul3d de datos4 jul
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Reglas
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Rhode Island before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not marry before Jan 1, 2030, the market will resolve to No Wedding Reported.
- If multiple wedding ceremonies occur in different locations (for example, a civil and a symbolic ceremony), only the first wedding ceremony to occur and be publicly reported by a Source Agency will govern this market.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in New York before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Tennessee before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.