KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite 61%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
176,4 €
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
9 may 26, 2:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Está previsto que Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which state laws will be enacted in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.