KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 50%
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
671,1 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
49.0% / 57.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
4 sept 26, 16:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The White HouseU.S. Department of the InteriorNational Park Servicethe Associated PressReutersThe Washington PostABC News
- For this market, a qualifying action is limited to one of the following:
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing artifact loan to the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing procurement-assistance arrangement with the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency withholds, rescinds, suspends, or refuses a named discretionary grant to the Smithsonian, or imposes a new binding condition on that grant.
- The Department of the Interior or National Park Service installs any of the temporary Smithsonian-related signs or exhibits on National Park Service property ordered by Executive Order 14416.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Kalshi cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Está previsto que Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.