KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
648,5 €
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
29 jun 26, 16:30 UTC30 jun 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi cotiza SNS-led list al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Está previsto que Serbian parliamentary election winner? se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.