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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección
KalshiKalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.

Resuelto: 5 jun 2026, 14:49

Probabilidad implícita actual
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

5,5 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

- / 100.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 días

Desactualizado
4 may 26, 18:0016 may 26, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Reglas

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.