KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Oct 3, 2026 68%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
29 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
3 sept 26, 22:00 UTC25 sept 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
PolymarketWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
KalshiTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?
SmarketsReglas
If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Senate
- Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date.
- Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential announcement of intent, formal nomination, committee hearing or report, cloture, or a scheduled vote does NOT constitute confirmation.
- If his nomination is withdrawn before a deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 111,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 25,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 843 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volumen total
- 4,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 523,1 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,6 M €
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Oct 3, 2026 al 68% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy??
- Está previsto que When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? se resuelva el 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.