KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 2.5°C 69.1%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Baja liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
2 jul 26, 23:005 abr 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 0.5 and 0.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+49.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-27.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-3.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 442,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 433,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Houston+8.0pt99%
- Miami+23.0pt99%
- New York City+15.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 247,6 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 89° to 90°+71.0pt94.3%
- 91° to 92°-49.0pt1.9%
- 87° to 88°-5.0pt0.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+42.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-31.0pt1%
- 85° to 86°-5.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHILowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 77° to 78°35%
- 75° to 76°+10.0pt26%
- 74° or below+4.0pt12%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 78,1 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+68.0pt94.2%
- 95° or above-17.0pt1.9%
- 91° to 92°-33.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 1, 2026?
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- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 1, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season??
- Kalshi cotiza At least 2.5°C al 69% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season??
- Está previsto que What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? se resuelva el 5 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.