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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. California governor primary margin of victory?
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

7.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección11m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% 95%+7.0%
Líder entre 18 opciones
Calidad del mercado

49 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

11,5 €

Liquidez

865 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

28 may 26, 0:002 jun 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Xavier Becerra, 2-4%95%

Reglas

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

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Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

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Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

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21,3 €
Karen Bass, 12-16%: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,505.28-0.00%EthereumETH$1,665.96-0.79%SolanaSOL$66.74-0.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0876+1.22%XRPXRP$1.13-0.56%BNBBNB$604.02-0.01%

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Reglas

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.