How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20264d
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Below 8 · —
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Precio guardado
Below 8 97%Líder entre 7 opciones
Below 8 97%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
11,1 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Below 8Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
12 may 26, 17:00 UTC3 nov 26, 14:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Below 8
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KalshiReglas
If below 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:legislature of the individual statesany court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in the individual statesthe official election administration office of the individual statesthe New York Times
- For purposes of this market, “undergo congressional redistricting” means satisfying the Payout Criterion of the REDISTRICTING contract. “After Issuance” in the REDISTRICTING contract is treated as “after July 1, 2025.” REDISTRICTING contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/REDISTRICTING.pdf
Reglas de cada resultado
- Below 8
- If below 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9
- If exactly 9 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10
- If exactly 10 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8
- If exactly 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 11
- If exactly 11 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 12
- If exactly 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If above 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.