Probabilidad implícita actual
David Miliband 6%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
518,1 €
Liquidez
2,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
9 jul 26, 18:438 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
David Miliband6%
Comparar plataformas· Ed Miliband
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general72% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 55% | -1pt | 9,5 mil € | 172,2 mil € | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Media | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2,9 mil € | hace 30 minutos | |
 Smarkets72% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | hace 30 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
9.0%5m
+0.5%55%
50%
50%
+34 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total245,2 mil €
Volumen 24h9,5 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
40 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total3,3 mil €
Volumen 24h418 €
SMARKETSReglas
If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087hace 14 d
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087hace 14 dTendencia de volumen
$5929 jul9d de datos17 jul
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If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.