KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualJay Clayton 97.1%+0.9ptLíder entre 23 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
19,9 mil €
Liquidez
678,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
22 may 26, 19:3520 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Jay Clayton99%
Comparar plataformas· Jay Clayton
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 99% | — | 19,9 mil € | 678,2 mil € | hace 25 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa64% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 30,6 mil € | 0 € | hace 45 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Other (100%)
100%
-11.4pt0%
-6.3pt0%
+48 resultados más
29 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total187,6 mil €
Volumen 24h30,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshace 17 d
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshace 17 d$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshace 17 d
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshace 17 dTendencia de volumen
$22.6k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.