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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?
What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Política
KalshiKalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión

Este mercado se resolvió: 2028 / Campaign (99%)

Resuelto: 28 may 2026, 0:44

Resultado Ganador

2028 / Campaign

A 7 días

—

A 24 horas

—

Probabilidad implícita actual
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign 99%
Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado

63 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

1,4 mil €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 16 días

Desactualizado
27 may 26, 20:0711 jun 26, 14:00

Cronología de Probabilidad

2028 / Campaign99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Republican1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Fraud1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Iran / Iranian1%
Trump (3+ times)99%
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting99%
Event does not qualify1%
ID / Identification99%
Spencer / Pratt1%
Democracy99%
Karen / Bass1%
0%25%50%75%100%27 may
Resultado24hProbabilidad
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign
99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Republican
Republican
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Fraud
Fraud
1%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

Reglas

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.