KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 95.1%Líder entre 3 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
121,3 €
Liquidez
6,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
16 dic 25, 15:00 UTC1 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsDune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
Polymarket"Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
FutuurWill Villeneuve's DUNE part 2 receive a higher IMDB rating than DUNE part 1 by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geographystreaming platform for media in geographyfilm studios responsible for the production of mediaNetflixSpotifyIMDbVarietyThe Hollywood ReporterDeadlineEntertainment Weeklythe Associated PressThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 319,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 98 mil €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 resultados más
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 80 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 130,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,3 mil €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- Está previsto que When will Dune: Part Three be released? se resuelva el 1 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Dune: Part Three be released??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.