Este mercado se resolvió: Labour (99%)
Resuelto: 19 jun 2026, 3:28
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Labour
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
89%
ConsensoProbabilidad implícita actualLabour 95.2%+10.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
144,1 mil €
Liquidez
9,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 días
Desactualizado16 may 26, 11:301 ene 28, 15:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Labour
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Cerrados
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETS
También disponible en Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total7,7 M €
Volumen 24h4,4 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.