Probabilidad implícita actual
Restore Britain 1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
467,7 €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
16 may 26, 11:301 ene 28, 15:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Restore Britain1%
También disponible en Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
0.1%
82.6%
12.5%
+1 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETS
También disponible en Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
0.1%6d
+1.0%86%
-2.0%13%
-0.1%3%
+30 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total2,8 M €
Volumen 24h147,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.