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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Keir Starmer departure announced?
Keir Starmer departure announced?

Keir Starmer departure announced?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEurope19d
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 15%+2.0%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

118,1 €

Liquidez

6,2 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

15.0% / 17.0%

Spread

13.3%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

5 feb 26, 15:001 jul 26, 3:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before Jul 1, 202615%

Reglas

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.