KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actualRuben Gallego 3%-2.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
10 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
52,5 €
Liquidez
784 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 100.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 días
Desactualizado14 abr 26, 16:001 jul 26, 3:59
Tendencias
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Ruben Gallego
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 3% | — | 52,5 € | 784 € | hace 25 días | |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · auto | — | 0% | — | — | — | hace 19 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will leave Congress before July? (Kalshi)
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario6 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."