Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Política
KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónEste mercado se resolvió: Julia Letlow, 9%+ (100%)
Resuelto: 2 jun 2026, 22:48
Resultado Ganador
Julia Letlow, 9%+
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualJulia Letlow, 0-3% 0%Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
710,3 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 días
Desactualizado19 mar 26, 14:0016 may 27, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Julia Letlow, 9%+100%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 3-6%0%
John Fleming, 6-9%0%
John Fleming, 9%+0%
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%0%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%0%
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+0%
1%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
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If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.