KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 28.6%Líder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
9 jul 26, 18:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.
- If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- Kalshi cotiza Nithya Raman, ≥2% al 29% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- Está previsto que Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.