KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Democratic party (99%)
Resuelto: 30 jun 2026, 18:36
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actualDemocratic party 98%
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
5,2 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
96.4% / 99.0%
Spread
2.6 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 días
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 1:043 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
98%
2%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Democratic party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 96% | — | 0 € | 18,1 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 99% | — | 0 € | 5,2 € | hace 26 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
CA-04 House Election Winner
0.1 pts3m
99%
-0.1pt1%
0%
+5 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total11,4 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.